Where have Modi’s rivals gone? The slow erosion of India’s Opposition

In the grand, chaotic theatre of Indian democracy, a strange silence has taken hold. For decades, the nation’s politics resembled a crowded, argumentative bazaar. Today, it feels more like a monologue.

The question is no longer just how the prime minister wins, but why his rivals have stopped finding the words to answer.

From Bengal to Bihar, from Delhi to Maharashtra, India’s democratic map is being redrawn not merely through elections but through the slow demolition of Opposition politics itself.

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Prime Minister Narendra Modi’s triumph is no longer just electoral dominance. It is becoming a structural project to convert the world’s largest democracy into a managed majoritarian republic where dissent survives only as spectacle.

March towards monopoly

When Modi first promised a “Congress-free India” in 2014, many dismissed it as camvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvpaign hyperbole — another slogan from a politician skilled in political theatre. Twelve years later, the slogan no longer sounds metaphorical. It reads like a governing doctrine.

Democracies do not die only through abolition but can also decay through imbalance. A ruling party does not need to ban opposition if it can exhaust it into irrelevance. That is the deeper significance of Modi’s India today.

The collapse of the Indian National Congress was merely the opening act. The deeper story unfolding across India today is the systematic weakening of every institutional, regional and ideological counterweight capable of restraining the Bharatiya Janata Party’s (BJP) march toward political monopoly.

West Bengal’s recent electoral result — where Mamata Banerjee’s long-standing fortress finally crumbled — has intensified a question now whispered in universities, policy circles and civil society forums across the country: Where have Modi’s rivals gone?

One-party dominance

The answer is neither simple nor singular. India’s Opposition did not disappear overnight. It has been politically out-organised, financially strangled, institutionally cornered, culturally delegitimised and, in some cases, internally hollowed out. What remains is a democracy increasingly electoral in form but asymmetrical in substance.

This is not yet a dictatorship. But it is unmistakably a democracy moving toward one-party predominance under conditions of unequal power.

The BJP’s rise cannot be reduced to propaganda alone. That explanation flatters the Opposition by absolving it of failure.

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The Congress decayed long before Modi conquered New Delhi. Dynastic stagnation, ideological confusion, bureaucratic inertia and organisational collapse turned the party of Jawaharlal Nehru into a relic of post-colonial nostalgia.

Its catastrophic reduction in Parliament in 2014 — from 206 seats to just 44 — marked not merely an electoral defeat but the implosion of an entire political era. Yet, what followed after the Congress’s decline is historically more significant.

Regional voices against BJP have shrunk

Instead of allowing a decentralised multi-party federal order to flourish, the BJP moved aggressively to dismantle regional resistance.

India’s federal structure had once acted as a democratic shock absorber. Strong state leaders — Mamata in Bengal, MK Stalin in Tamil Nadu, Arvind Kejriwal in Delhi, Nitish Kumar in Bihar, regional coalitions in Maharashtra — represented not merely electoral competitors but alternative political imaginations.

Today, most of those centres of resistance are weakened, fragmented or electorally demolished.

The BJP’s dominance now stretches across most of India’s political geography, leaving only a handful of ideological enclaves — Kerala, parts of Tamil Nadu and scattered regional pockets — outside its expanding sphere.

This is not accidental. It reflects a long-term project of political centralisation unprecedented in post-independence India outside the Emergency imposed by Indira Gandhi in 1975.

Uneven terrain

But unlike the Emergency, Modi’s system operates through elections rather than the suspension of elections. That distinction matters enormously. The BJP seeks legitimacy through ballots while simultaneously reshaping the conditions under which those ballots occur.

Modern democratic erosion rarely arrives through tanks in the streets. It emerges through institutions slowly bending toward executive power.

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The BJP’s critics argue that India’s electoral system itself is increasingly becoming an uneven terrain. Opposition leaders have repeatedly accused federal agencies — including the Enforcement Directorate, Central Bureau of Investigation and Income-Tax authorities — of functioning less as neutral institutions and more as instruments of political intimidation.

Kejriwal’s downfall became emblematic of this new reality. Raids, arrests and corruption allegations created a permanent state of siege around the Delhi chief minister and his party. Though convictions remained elusive, the political damage was immense.

Moral instability

The message was unmistakable: Opposition leaders could spend years fighting investigations rather than organising resistance. Simultaneously, electoral processes themselves have become sites of growing controversy.

The BJP has fused welfare populism with nationalist identity. Subsidised food, cash transfers, religious symbolism, muscular foreign policy and digital propaganda now operate together within one integrated political machine.

In Bihar and Bengal, voter-roll revisions triggered accusations of selective deletions disproportionately affecting minorities and poor voters. In Bengal alone, millions reportedly disappeared from electoral rolls during revision exercises. Opposition parties alleged targeted disenfranchisement. The Election Commission rejected accusations of bias.

But in democratic politics, perception can become as consequential as proof. The danger lies not only in whether manipulation occurred, but in the widening public belief that democratic neutrality itself is eroding.

Once citizens begin to suspect that institutions answer upward to executive authority rather than outward to constitutional accountability, democracy enters a zone of moral instability.

BJP’s political innovation

The BJP’s greatest political innovation has been its success in transforming Hindu majoritarianism into a pan-Indian political identity capable of transcending caste fractures.

For decades, India’s electoral system fragmented along linguistic, caste and regional lines. Modi’s BJP reorganised politics around a broader civilizational narrative: the idea that Hindus constitute a historically wronged majority reclaiming the nation from secular elites, minorities and colonial-era distortions.

This ideological framework gave the BJP something no Opposition party currently possesses — emotional coherence.

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Economic distress alone has therefore failed to produce anti-incumbency strong enough to unseat Modi. India faces persistent unemployment, inflation and deepening inequality. Studies show millions of graduates entering a labour market incapable of absorbing them. Yet, electoral frustration repeatedly stops short of becoming regime rejection. Why?

Because the BJP has fused welfare populism with nationalist identity. Subsidised food, cash transfers, religious symbolism, muscular foreign policy and digital propaganda now operate together within one integrated political machine.

For many voters, Modi represents not merely governance but national restoration. Opposition parties still speak the language of administrative failure.

The BJP speaks the language of historical destiny. That asymmetry is devastating.

Referendum on identity

Bengal once represented the intellectual heartland of anti-majoritarian politics in India.

From the Left Front era to Mamata’s populist regionalism, the state cultivated an identity rooted in linguistic nationalism, cultural cosmopolitanism and suspicion toward Hindi-Hindu centralisation. That wall has now cracked.

The BJP’s Bengal victory signals more than a regional transfer of power. It demonstrates the penetration of Hindutva into territories once considered politically immune.

Mamata’s defeat emerged from multiple crises: economic stagnation, allegations of corruption, fatigue after years in power and growing Hindu polarisation. But the BJP’s success also reflected its mastery in converting local grievances into civilizational politics.

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The party framed Bengal not as a state suffering administrative decline, but as a Hindu society endangered by minority appeasement and demographic anxiety. This rhetorical strategy has become the BJP’s national template. Every regional election is transformed into a referendum on identity rather than governance alone.

The Opposition, fragmented and reactive, struggles to counter a narrative operating simultaneously through religion, media ecosystems, welfare delivery and charismatic leadership. This creates a vacuum.

And vacuums in politics rarely remain empty.

A managed democracy

India is not yet a one-party state in the formal sense. Elections continue. Courts function unevenly but not uniformly submissively. Independent journalists, activists and regional leaders still resist.

But democracies do not die only through abolition. They can also decay through imbalance.

A ruling party does not need to ban Opposition if it can exhaust Opposition into irrelevance. That is the deeper significance of Modi’s India today.

The danger is not merely electoral dominance. It is the normalisation of the idea that Opposition itself is unnecessary, illegitimate or anti-national.

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History offers uncomfortable parallels. From Mexico’s Institutional Revolutionary Party in the 20th century to dominant-party systems elsewhere, electoral competition can survive while genuine political alternation slowly disappears.

The result is not a classical dictatorship. It is a managed democracy: elections without equal power.

Where is pluralistic India?

India’s constitutional imagination once depended on pluralism — linguistic, ideological, religious and political. Nehru’s “idea of India” rested on the assumption that no single identity could permanently monopolise the republic.

The BJP proposes a different vision: cultural uniformity backed by centralised political authority. That vision is winning.

But democracies are ultimately tested not by the strength of governments but by the survival of dissent. As political commentators rightly warned, nobody wants one-party rule.

The tragedy of India’s current moment is that many may discover the value of Opposition only after most of it has already disappeared.

(The Federal seeks to present views and opinions from all sides of the spectrum. The information, ideas or opinions in the articles are of the author and do not necessarily reflect the views of The Federal.)

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