Corona Virus Alert! The peak of the third wave of corona can come in third-fourth week of January

Corona virus is spreading rapidly once again in India. If we look at the figures across the country, in the last 24 hours, 1,17,100 new cases of corona have been reported. Omicron has a total of 3007 cases in the country.


But 1199 of them have also been cured. At the same time, after 7 months, such an opportunity has come when the cases have reached above 1 lakh. In such a situation, the possibility of a third wave of corona in the country is being expressed

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Corona Virus Alert! The peak of the third wave of corona can come in third-fourth week of January

Corona virus is spreading rapidly once again in India. If we look at the figures across the country, in the last 24 hours, 1,17,100 new cases of corona have been reported. Omicron has a total of 3007 cases in the country.


But 1199 of them have also been cured. At the same time, after 7 months, such an opportunity has come when the cases have reached above 1 lakh. In such a situation, the possibility of a third wave of corona in the country is being expressed. But the question is, when will the third wave be at its peak and when will it end.

The team of Indian Institute of Science, Indian Statistical Institute, Bangalore has done a research. According to research, the corona will be at its peak between the third and fourth week of January. From the beginning of March to the end of March, the corona will gradually subside. According to research, Maharashtra Delhi is likely to have the maximum number of corona cases during the peak.

In this study, based on mathematical modeling, it has been calculated that the cases of the Omicron variant of the coronavirus will be highest in the third and fourth week of January and then start decreasing by the beginning of March. This mathematical model also takes into account the past infection, vaccination and weak immunity. Despite previous infection vaccinations, a large part of the population can still easily come under the influence of the new variant.

Researchers have estimated the peak of the third wave of corona in India based on the Omicron case graph in South Africa. 3 lakh to 10 lakh case studies, based on estimates of the number of people who become easily vulnerable to the virus (ie sick, elderly people with weakened immunity, who are more susceptible to the virus) 3 lakh per day. Cases can come up to 6 lakhs or even 10 lakhs.

If there is only 30 percent of the population that can easily get sick from the infection, then it is less than the cases seen during India's second wave. As of January 6, 2022, the Omicron variant of SARS-CoV-2 has affected more than 3000 people in the country. This number can be high, because reading and interpreting the genetic information found in DNA or RNA (genome sequencing) is performed on only a few samples. In which 653 cases of Delhi were taken from Maharashtra.

Maharashtra is witnessing the highest number of Omicron cases so far, there is also a possibility of reaching the peak by the third week of January. On the other hand, Delhi, which is currently second in the country in Omicron's cases, may reach its peak earlier than Maharashtra, that is, Delhi may see a peak by the second week of January, the situation can become normal on the first week of February.

But if only 30 percent of the people are more likely to spread the virus, then The peak in the states and union territories like Lakshadweep, Puducherry and Punjab will peak in February. According to what has been told by the team studying mathematical modeling based on the current situation, as compared to the researchers who were part of the National Covid-19 Supermodel Committee, the peak will come sooner. The Supermodel Committee team had told that the peak could come at any time in early February.