The Indian subcontinent is currently experiencing varied weather patterns due to multiple active systems. A cyclonic circulation over north Madhya Maharashtra and neighboring areas is now centered over southwest Madhya Pradesh, extending up to middle tropospheric levels. Moreover, a trough stretches from southern Gujarat to northwest Bihar, intersecting the cyclonic circulation over southwest Madhya Pradesh.
Weather Systems Influencing India:
- Cyclonic Circulation Over Southwest Madhya Pradesh:
- The system extends up to the middle tropospheric levels, influencing Heavy Shower patterns over West and Central India.
- Cyclonic Circulation Over Northeast Assam:
- This system, also extending up to middle tropospheric levels, is responsible for rainfall in the northeastern states.
- Western Disturbance:
- A trough in the middle tropospheric westerlies, with its axis at 5.8 km above mean sea level, runs roughly along Longitude 68°E to the north of Latitude 30°N, bringing weather changes to Northwest India.
Regional Rainfall Forecast and Warnings (Up to 7 Days):
West India:
- Konkan & Goa, Madhya Maharashtra, Gujarat:
- Fairly widespread to widespread light to Heavy Shower is expected over the next three days. Isolated to scattered light to Heavy Shower is anticipated over the subsequent four days.
- Madhya Maharashtra, Gujarat State:
- Isolated heavy rainfall is very likely on 28th September.
East & Northeast India:
- Bihar:
- Isolated heavy to very heavy rainfall is expected on 28th September.
- Arunachal Pradesh, Assam, Meghalaya:
- Heavy rainfall is likely between 29th September and 3rd October.
- Sub-Himalayan West Bengal & Sikkim, Nagaland, Manipur, Mizoram & Tripura:
- Isolated heavy rainfall is forecast during 30th September to 3rd October.
Central India:
- West Madhya Pradesh:
- Isolated heavy rainfall is anticipated on 28th September. Scattered light to moderate rainfall will prevail over the next three days.
Northwest India:
- East Uttar Pradesh, Uttarakhand, Himachal Pradesh, Punjab, Haryana-Chandigarh-Delhi, Rajasthan, West Uttar Pradesh:
- Fairly widespread to widespread light to moderate rainfall is expected in East Uttar Pradesh over the next three days, with dry weather prevailing thereafter.
- Uttarakhand:
- Isolated heavy rainfall is likely on 28th September.
- East Uttar Pradesh:
- Heavy Shower on 28th September.
South Peninsular India:
- Kerala & Mahe, Lakshadweep:
- Fairly widespread to widespread light to moderate rainfall is expected throughout the week.
- Tamil Nadu, Puducherry & Karaikal:
- Isolated heavy rainfall is likely on the 28th and 29th of September.
These weather systems are expected to bring significant rainfall to multiple regions across India. People in affected areas are advised to stay updated with local weather advisories and take necessary precautions.
Source: India Meteorological Department
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