8th Pay Commission: Will central employees get arrears?

New Delhi. These days the discussion regarding the 8th Pay Commission is in full swing among the central employees and pensioners. The biggest reason for this is that the 10-year period of the 7th Pay Commission is completing on 31 December 2025. In such a situation, it is natural that everyone’s eyes are fixed on the next salary revision process.

The government has taken formal steps regarding the 8th Pay Commission and notified it and its Terms of Reference (ToR) have also been decided. The commission has started its work under the chairmanship of Justice Ranjana Desai. However, it has not yet been made clear as to when the Commission’s recommendations will be implemented.

Delay in implementation, but no harm

Experts believe that the recommendations of the 8th Pay Commission may come into effect in late 2027 or early 2028 instead of being implemented from January 2026. The main reason for this is that the Commission has been given about 18 months time to prepare the report. After this, the government may take another 3 to 6 months to decide on the recommendations and implement them.

However, delays do not mean that employees will suffer losses. If the government accepts the recommendations, the effective date is January 2026 and payments are made in 2028, then employees may get long-term arrears. This was seen earlier also during the 7th Pay Commission, when employees got a huge lump sum payment.

How much can the salary increase?

At present only speculations are being made regarding salary increase. Experts and brokerage firms believe that in the 8th Pay Commission, the total salary may increase by 30 to 34 percent. Its basis will be the new fitment factor, which is expected to be between 1.83 to 2.46. In many reports this factor is being said to be around 2.28. Apart from this, as before, Dearness Allowance (DA) is expected to be merged with the basic salary, after which the new pay structure will be implemented.

Everyone’s eyes are on the government’s decision

At present, the eyes of central employees and pensioners are fixed on three things, what will be the fitment factor, from what date will the recommendations be considered effective and when will the government take the final decision. If everything goes favourably, then the 8th Pay Commission can bring not only better salaries but also bigger arrears for the employees.

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