Estimate of 6.9% annual premium growth by 2030 – Obnews
On January 19, 2026, global reinsurer Swiss Re released its analysis “India’s Economic and Insurance Market Outlook 2026-2030”, which projects India’s insurance sector to achieve strong medium-term growth of **6.9%** (in real terms) annually between 2026 and 2030. This positions India as the fastest growing major insurance market worldwide, ahead of China (about 4%) and the US (about 2%).
This forecast reflects a strong rebound from slower growth of **3.1%** in 2025, as the market was adjusting to the new rules. Key drivers include strong macroeconomic fundamentals, growing consumer demand, visionary reforms by the Insurance Regulatory and Development Authority of India (IRDAI), higher foreign direct investment limits, modernization of distribution, GST changes, and digital innovations that increase access and attract capital.
Swiss Re expects segment-specific expansion: Life insurance to grow at **6.8%** annually, driven by wider distribution network, demand for retirement products and credit growth; Health Insurance at the rate of **7.2%**; And motor insurance will grow at **7.5%**, driven by increasing ownership of vehicles and risk awareness.
Amitabh Ray, Swiss Re’s market head for India, described the country as “a true bright spot for insurance growth in the medium term”, especially in the health and motor segments. He emphasized the role of insurance as an important financial shock absorber for households and businesses amid rising natural disasters, healthcare costs and an aging population.
Parvinder Singh, Head of Client Underwriting India at Swiss Re, stressed the importance of prudent underwriting and sustainable solutions in dealing with global uncertainties.
Supported by strong private consumption, fiscal stimulus and risk mitigation needs, India’s insurance sector is poised for transformational expansion, cementing its place as a global growth leader.
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