Friday’s NBA schedule features a seven-game slate, which has a wide range of spreads. Among the tighter spreads include Knicks (-1.5) vs. Nuggets and Pelicans vs. Suns (-4.5). The larger ones include Pacers vs. Lakers (-9.5) and Mavericks vs. Celtics (-14.5), with Jayson Tatum (Achilles) set to return for the first time since the 2025 NBA playoffs.
Other NBA bets include prop predictions, NBA first scorer picks, NBA exact score bets, or predicting a game’s stat leader, and the right combination of some of these longshot props can lead to giant returns. Before locking in any Friday NBA picks or forming a longshot parlay, you’ll want to see the NBA predictions and betting advice from SportsLine’s proven computer model.
The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,000 in betting profit for $100 players on its top-rated NBA picks over the past eight-plus seasons. The model entered Week 20 on a sizzling 41-18 roll on top-rated NBA spread picks dating back to last season. Anyone following its NBA betting advice at sportsbooks and on betting apps could have seen huge returns.
Now, the model has scoured the latest NBA odds and locked in seven NBA best bets. If you successfully parlay its picks, you’d be looking at a payout of more than $1.2 million.
Top NBA picks for Friday, March 6
After simulating every game 10,000 times, the model is backing the Celtics to defeat the Mavericks by between 21 to 25 points (+500). Dallas has lost five in a row, losing by double digits in three of those games. Boston has the third-best scoring differential in the NBA at +7.3, while Dallas is ranked No. 22 at -4.1 points. The Mavericks also allow the ninth-most points per game at 117.5, while Boston allows the least at 107.1 points.
Guard Jaylen Brown powers the Celtics’ offense, averaging 28.9 points per game. He has scored 30 or more points in 28 games this season, including a season-high 50 in a 146-115 win over the Los Angeles Clippers on Jan. 3.
How to make NBA parlay picks for Friday, March 6
The model also has locked in six more picks, including a first scorer prop that returns more than +700 in a longshot parlay that pays more than $1.2 million on just a $10 bet.
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