Gold Price Crash: Beware! Will gold fall from the sky to the ground? Price may reach Rs 85,300, these 3 historical falls shocked the senses

New Delhi. Is gold about to lose its shine? Is gold, considered the ‘safe haven’ of investment, now going to turn your portfolio red? The recent fall in gold prices has raised this question in the mind of every investor. After giving a bumper return of 65% in the year 2025, the beginning of 2026 was great, but Iran-America tension and global equations have spoiled the game.

Gold reached its all-time high of $5,602 in January 2026, but in just three months it fell 20% to $4,495. Experts believe that this is just the beginning. History is witness to the fact that whenever gold has made a big jump, it has been followed by an equally scary fall.

The ‘Golden’ journey started from October 2022

The current rising trend in gold started from October 2022. Then gold was at a low of $ 1,500, from where it rose by a huge 275% and by January 2026 it reached a peak of $ 5,602. But now the question is whether this decline will be deeper? Historical data is testifying to the same.

Those 3 biggest falls in history, which made investors cry

There have been at least three occasions in the history of gold when prices crashed badly after hitting highs:

1. Period from 1974 to 1976: Between August 1971 and November 1974, gold had a tsunami-like rise of 353%. But soon after, between November 1974 and August 1976, prices fell by 43%. At that time, reduction in inflation, increase in interest rates and the end of Vietnam War had taken away the shine of gold.

2. Great Recession of the 1980s: Gold rose 541% between 1976 and 1980, but fell 52% over the next two years. This sequence did not stop here; Between 1983 and 1985, it again declined by 42%. The main reason for this was the huge increase in interest rates by the then US Fed Chairman Paul Volcker.

3. End of the longest bull run from 1999 to 2011: According to the World Gold Council, gold gave a historical return of 612% during this period. But between August 2011 and December 2015, gold fell 42% from its high. The strength of the dollar and improvement in the US economy had pushed gold out of the list of ‘safe investments’.

What will happen in 2026? Price can go up to ₹85,000!

If history repeats itself and gold falls by an average of 50% from its record high in 2026, then it may fall to the level of $ 2,800 to $ 3,000 in the international market. If we look at the price of gold from the Indian market then Rs 85,300 to Rs 91,400 per ten grams Can fall till.

Rising crude oil prices due to the Iran-US war are strengthening the dollar, causing inflation to rise. In such a situation, there is little possibility of the US Federal Reserve cutting interest rates, which may prove to be a ‘death warrant’ for gold prices. Market experts are now eyeing the level of $3,600.