West Bengal Assembly Elections 2026 Result: Who will come to power in West Bengal? BJP worried about Trinamool’s internal survey

• After the two-phase polling of West Bengal, the results will be announced on May 4
• There is an atmosphere of excitement in the BJP fold as BJP is predicted to get a majority
• Mamata Banerjee claims that Trinamool Congress government will be formed in West Bengal

West Bengal Assembly Elections 2026 Seat Prediction: 4 May 2026 is going to be a decisive day in West Bengal politics. Leaders of political parties and common people are eagerly waiting for that day. After the two-phase West Bengal polls, the results will be declared on May 4. The exit poll statistics are also being announced before the results of this election.

Exit polls, released ahead of the election results, predicted a majority for the BJP, creating excitement in the BJP fold. On the other hand, TMC chief and Chief Minister Mamata Banerjee has rejected the exit poll data and has claimed that the Trinamool Congress government will be formed.

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According to a media report by ‘The Wall’, an internal report from two TMC strongholds, Kalighat and Cammack Street, has sparked a fresh debate. The mathematical explanation of TMC’s victory in this report is enough to amaze anyone.

Figures on the ground differ significantly

According to party strategists, the situation on the ground is claimed to be significantly different from the exit poll figures. Mamata Banerjee has instructed her workers to be vigilant at the counting stations. Because TMC will once again come back to power with two-thirds majority. Political strategists believe that the battle is no longer limited to votes, but to credibility and claims.

43 assembly constituencies in the ‘grey zone’

According to sources close to Kalighat, the TMC has conducted a detailed analysis of all 294 seats in the state, as reported by Bengali news channel ‘The Wall’. According to the party’s internal polls, approximately 43 seats are in the ‘grey zone’, i.e. the result could be by a very small margin. No one can claim these seats in advance. Mamata Banerjee’s party is eyeing a 50-50 win in these 43 seats. This means, if the situation tilts even slightly in their favor, the TMC can benefit.

These ‘grey zone’ seats also include some prominent candidates, who are being closely monitored. TMC predicts that the party will easily win 174 seats even in the worst case scenario. Meanwhile, BJP is predicted to get maximum 71 seats. This suggests that in Kalighat, the focus is not on the fear of defeat, but on the margin of victory.

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How many seats will TMC win?

The survey conducted by Camack Street Camp led by Abhishek Banerjee is even more encouraging than the survey in Kalighat. According to a report by ‘The Wall Media’, TMC will win a landslide victory by winning 209 to 229 seats. The survey also predicts a landslide victory for the party in Muslim-majority areas like Murshidabad, where the TMC will win 17 seats. It is predicted that BJP will get one seat in districts like Birbhum.

According to Cammack Street strategists, this time the quiet voters, especially women, are firmly behind Mamata Banerjee. The impact of schemes like ‘Lakshmi Bhandar’ has been seen in voting machines. Also, BJP’s grip seems to be weakening in urban areas as well, which could directly benefit the TMC. The report has given new energy to the party workers.

The party believes in new faces

Hooghly district was a major concern for the Trinamool Congress in the 2026 assembly elections, but internal reports paint a different picture. According to reports, TMC is claimed to win 15 out of 18 seats in Hooghly. Interestingly, the party has expressed confidence in new faces without giving tickets to existing MLAs on 10 seats. It is also being said that this experiment to counter the anti-establishment wave has been completely successful.

Political pundits believed that the BJP could make a dent in Hooghly, but a report by Cammack Street has put an end to these speculations. If the results in Hooghly match this internal survey, it will prove that Mamata Banerjee’s organizational grip is as strong today as it was in 2021. This district can be the key to power.

Claiming a one-sided victory in Kolkata

Kolkata and South 24 Parganas have always been the strongholds of Trinamool and this time too there seems to be no change. According to an internal survey of the party, TMC is claiming victory in 10 out of 11 seats in Kolkata. Meanwhile, Trinamool Congress is getting 30 out of 31 seats in South 24 Parganas. It seems impossible for BJP to gain a foothold here.

It is predicted that the result will be 16-0 in Howrah district as well. This means Mamata Banerjee’s wave continues throughout the urban and semi-urban belt. If these numbers turn out to be true, BJP’s slogan of crossing the 200-seat mark will remain just a dream. TMC has secured its vote base and has not suffered any shock. This is believed by the party leaders.

Minority votes benefit TMC

Districts like Murshidabad and Malda, once strongholds of the Congress and Left parties, now seem to be under the complete control of the TMC. According to reports, Trinamool Congress is expected to win all 17 seats in Murshidabad. BJP’s polarization card doesn’t seem to work here. According to The Wall, the split of minority votes has directly benefited the TMC.