War Pause or Tactical Trap? By stopping such wars, Donald Trump is weakening Iran from within.

Amidst the increasing tension in the Middle East, a big question is being raised regarding the relations between America and Iran – is this really a “War Pause” or a “Tactical Trap” strategy of Donald Trump? The Trump administration increased economic, diplomatic and psychological pressure on Iran despite repeatedly withdrawing from direct war. For this reason, there is a strong debate in international politics whether America deliberately wants to weaken Iran from within while avoiding a major war. Many experts call the strategy of exhausting Iran through oil embargo, economic sanctions, regional blockade and political pressure “Maximum Pressure Doctrine”. The question is whether Trump is stopping the war, or fighting a long strategic battle without firing a shot.

What is the meaning of War Pause and Tactical Trap?

War Pause means such a temporary stoppage, when two enemy countries appear to be withdrawing directly from the war, but the tension does not end. In the case of America and Iran, many experts also consider it as Tactical Trap. This means stopping the war and putting the opponent under economic, political and psychological pressure, not just military.

donald trump China’s strategy has often been based on the Maximum Pressure model, focusing on sanctions, stopping oil exports, isolation from the dollar system, and increasing internal discontent rather than direct major war. Global affairs experts believe that this may not just be an effort for peace, but also a way to gradually weaken Iran. That means less firing, but continued pressure.

2. Is Trump deliberately stopping the war or is it his compulsion?

Trump’s decision to stop the war is not entirely considered peace-loving. There could be both strategic and political reasons behind this. America has paid a heavy economic and political price for long wars (Iraq and Afghanistan). In such a situation, Trump knows that a big war against Iran can harm oil prices, the American economy and the electoral environment.

On the other hand, Trump presents himself in the image of a Strong Negotiator. Therefore, instead of direct war, they want to bring Iran into talks or a weak position by creating pressure. This can be called a mixture of both compulsion and strategy. That means Trump wants to avoid war, but also does not want to give up pressure. This appears to be part of their policy.

3. Is there a policy to weaken Iran from within?

Foreign affairs experts believe that the main goal of Trump’s Iran policy is not to directly change power, but to weaken Iran’s economic and political capacity from within. The aim is to paralyze Iran’s economy by putting maximum pressure on Iran and imposing strict restrictions on its oil exports, banking system and foreign investment. This will further weaken Iran’s currency, increase inflation and create dissatisfaction among the public. When dissatisfaction reaches its peak, change of power will happen automatically.

That is, Trump’s strategy is to put so much pressure on the Iranian government without a major war that it either negotiates on American terms or gets entangled in internal crises. Efforts were also made to corner Iran through social media, cyber pressure, regional isolation and allied countries. Trump continued to believe that economic disruption and political pressure could be more effective than missile attacks.

4. What could be the strategy to weaken Iran?

As part of the strategy to weaken Iran, economic sanctions can be imposed on it. Including a ban on oil trade, international isolation and increasing internal discontent. America tries to ensure that the Iranian government receives less revenue so that its military and regional strength weakens.

Additionally, Iran’s isolation from the dollar-based global financial system increases pressure on its economy. Strategic siege is also carried out through regional allies (Israel, Saudi Arabia and Gulf countries). The goal is to gradually exhaust Iran economically, politically and socially without a major war.

Brahmadeep Alune: Now focus on domestic politics?

Foreign affairs expert Dr. Brahmdeep Alune says that Trump is badly trapped in the Middle East. Now he is following the policy of wait and see. He wants to see in which direction Middle East politics can go. What change is possible? Keeping this in mind, he is postponing the plan to start the war again.

The problem with Trump is that he has to face criticism from Congress senators in his own country. Congress has almost fixed their limits. NATO and other cooperation countries are angry with Trump’s policies. They are beginning to realize that all their allies have been left behind by America’s decisions. This is why Iran is trying to dominate. In such a situation, he can lift the blockade of Hormuz after some time.

Then, he is not ready to accept the conditions that Trump wants to impose on Iran. This is Trump’s biggest problem. Keeping this in mind, he is now looking for a way to escape from domestic issues and the dispute with Iran.