Breakup of TMC, separation from DMK, will Modi government get a bumper majority in Parliament?

By Samira Vishwas On Jun 4, 2026

Since the results of the assembly elections were announced last month, rapid changes are taking place in the politics of the country. Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam (DMK) and Congress have parted ways. At the same time, Mamata Banerjee’s party Trinamool Congress (TMC), which was out of power after ruling the government for 15 years, is on the verge of collapse in the Assembly and something similar is expected to happen in the Parliament in the future. Seeing the strong numbers of DMK and TMC in Parliament, the eyes of the ruling Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) have brightened. She is now beginning to feel that if some of these two MPs join her, either directly or indirectly, then she can easily reach the majority required for many other bills like the Delimitation Bill.

Even though the Narendra Modi government, which is running a government with absolute majority, looks strong in the Parliament, it does not have two-thirds majority in any House. The support of 362 MPs is required for two-third majority in the Lok Sabha. Recently, when the Delimitation (Amendment) Bill was brought in the light of women’s reservation, only 298 MPs voted in support of that bill. That means there were 64 MPs less. A total of 230 MLAs voted in protest. Let us tell you that NDA has a total of 293 MPs but it did not get success despite the support of some outside MPs.

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In such a situation, now BJP is trying to help DMK after parting ways with Congress. Also, if there is a split in the parliamentary party of TMC then the work of NDA can be done. There are rumors that something similar may be seen in the upcoming monsoon session. There are a total of 51 MPs in the Lok Sabha including these two parties and if all these MPs vote in favor of the bill, then the NDA may not reach two-thirds but its work may definitely become easier.

What is the numerical strength of DMK and TMC?

Trinamool is the third largest party in the Rajya Sabha and its number of MPs is 13. DMK is the fourth largest party in Rajya Sabha and has a total of 8 MPs. In this way this number in Rajya Sabha becomes 21. Talking about Lok Sabha, TMC with 29 MPs is the fourth largest party and DMK with 22 MPs is the fifth largest party. If we look at the Lok Sabha, the number of MPs of these two parties is 51.

This is the reason that even though Bengal BJP leader Shamik Bhattacharya is saying that his doors are closed for TMC MLAs, many BJP leaders have said that they are in touch with TMC MPs.

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Before these two parties, the Aam Aadmi Party (AAP) has already split in the Rajya Sabha parliamentary party. 7 out of its 10 Rajya Sabha MPs have now joined BJP and have also been recognized as BJP MPs. In such a situation, if TMC also has such a split in the Rajya Sabha parliamentary party, then BJP will welcome them with an open heart.

BJP has benefited from every breakdown

Earlier, BJP has benefited from the split between Shiv Sena and Nationalist Congress Party (NCP). Many MPs of Biju Janata Dal (BJD) have also left the party and joined BJP, in such a situation BJP will not mind the arrival of these MPs.

Will DMK also come along?

DMK has been extremely surprised by what has happened in Tamil Nadu politics. Soon after the victory of Tamilaga Vetri Kazhagam (TVK), Congress broke the alliance with DMK by supporting it. DMK had also written a letter to the Speaker of the Lok Sabha demanding that now its MPs should be made to sit separately from the Congress. On the other hand, there are also rumors that BJP can also bring DMK along to strengthen its position in Parliament.

Also read: Amidst the rebellion, TMC took a big step, dissolved all the organizational committees.

BJP is trying its best to get the delimitation bill passed in the next session itself and present a new challenge to the opposition before the 2029 elections. In such a situation, now BJP’s target is those parties which are in a weak position and it will not take much effort to break them.