What is the monarchy from the mullahs?
Now there is a lot of speculation about Iran’s future journey. After the death of the supreme religious leader, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, the world press began to write the sad story of the Islamic revolution in Iran. After the end of the Shah monarchy in 1979, the Islamic Republic under the leadership of Ayatollah Ruhollah Khomeini is believed to be finally on the verge of collapse. Since Khomeini’s death in 1989, the Islamic revolution has repeatedly faced challenges at home and abroad. But as Khomeini’s worthy successor, Khamenei was able to successfully deal with them for the last 36 years. Now everything is collapsing like a house of cards.
It was unimaginable that the Mossad and the CIA could so easily hit the right target. However, Mossad’s ability to hit the right targets is unquestionable. The same applies to the CIA. However, there was no opportunity to underestimate the power of the Iranian army and the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps. There is clear evidence of Iran’s military buildup under Khamenei. Khamenei’s hideout has been found after confirming this information from CIA and Mossad that US President Donald Trump and Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu started this joint operation, it is well felt. Along with Khamenei, the Iranian government announced the death of the defense minister, army chief and commander in chief of the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps. It is needless to say that it is not possible for the Iranian government to carry forward this resistance very far after losing the country’s prime minister and all the army chiefs within 24 hours of the start of the war. In addition, there is no such thing as an isolated Iranian ‘supply line’.
If a monarchy is established in Iran instead of a theocratic dictatorship, will there be any solution for the common people of Iran? The rise of ISIS militants in Iraq and the Taliban in Afghanistan after the formation of a government with the intervention of the United States. Will Iran walk that way? Or will the Iranian people accept the Shah’s son?
After the fall of the Bashar-al-Assad regime in Syria in 2024, the land bridges of the four so-called ‘Axis of Resistance’ have virtually collapsed. This route used to exchange military equipment with Iran’s Hezbollah group in Lebanon and pro-Shia militant groups in Syria and Iraq. There is no one to help Iran through the southern sea route. In this situation, India will also not send goods to Iran through Chabahar port. There is also doubt as to how much Russia will be able to supply Iran through its northern border.
There are reports in the media that a Chinese cargo plane is landing in Iran, avoiding the radar. There are questions about the truth of this news. Without concealing it, Trump has openly expressed his desire for ‘regime change’ in Iran. According to media reports, Prince Reza Pahlavi, the son of Mohammad Pahlavi, the last king of the Shah dynasty of Iran, has started packing his bags to return to Tehran. He will take a flight from New York to Tehran as soon as he receives the green signal from the White House.
Khamenei, sitting in the seat of Iran’s supreme leader, called America the ‘big devil’ and Israel the ‘little devil’. Ever since Khamenei accelerated Iran’s nuclear weapons program, Israel has continued to seek regime change in Iran.
If the war in Iran is not stopped through a quick ‘regime change’, the world may face great danger. Fuel oil prices have increased by 13 percent in two days. Air travel around the world is disrupted. Stock market crash. If this continues for a few days, the global economy will face a bigger disaster than the time of Covid. But it is not realistic to think that this war will last long. Again, no power can survive in today’s world by fighting alone. The way Iran’s missiles are hitting Dubai, Doha, Abu Dhabi, Kuwait, Bahrain, etc. shows that Iran does not believe in the call of the Muslim world to unite. Although Vladimir Putin issued a strong statement on Khamenei’s death, Russia no longer has the ability to stand by Iran and take part in the war. They are practically exhausted by the war with Ukraine. China may send military equipment and other aid by air, but they will not engage in war. Rather, if the picture of Iran’s future ruling group is clear, China will start business communication with them. Which they did recently in Venezuela. Lebanon’s Hezbollah continues to struggle amid Iran’s ‘shadow power’. Yemen’s Houthis and Gaza’s Hamas are virtually penniless without money from Tehran. Iran’s foreign minister has already said under pressure that they do not need the help of any shadow power. Iran will fight its own battle. In his speech, the indication of defeat is clear.
If there is a quick ‘regime change’ in Iran, there will be major changes in the politics of the Middle East. The residents of Jerusalem and Tel Aviv will go to sleep peacefully after more than four and a half decades. After coming to power in Iran, Ruhullah Khomeini announced that they will not accept the existence of Israel. Khamenei, sitting in the seat of Iran’s supreme leader, called America the ‘big devil’ and Israel the ‘little devil’. Ever since Khamenei accelerated Iran’s nuclear weapons program, Israel has continued to seek regime change in Iran. Because Israel, which is within range of Iran’s missiles, is always afraid that at any moment a nuclear bomb coming out of Tehran will wipe the Jewish state off the map forever. If Iran’s Islamic revolution is defeated, Israel’s fears will end for the time being. Trump also believes that all terrorist activities against Israel in the Middle East will stop when Hamas, Hezbollah and Houthi militant groups are weakened. On the other hand, if a puppet government is installed in Iran after Iraq, America’s dominance over the Middle East’s oil reserves will be strengthened.
If the war in Iran is not stopped through a quick ‘regime change’, the world may face great danger. Fuel oil prices have increased by 13 percent in two days. Air travel around the world is disrupted. Stock market crash.
But if a monarchy or a puppet government is established by US intervention in Iran instead of a theocratic dictatorship, will there be any solution for the common people of Iran? Will they get their democratic rights and freedom back? The experience of Iraq, Libya or Afghanistan is that bloodshed and looting of natural resources have increased after the formation of governments with American intervention. Forces such as ISIS militants in Iraq and the Taliban in Afghanistan have risen. Iran can also follow that path. The ‘Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps’ could lead the country to a terrible civil war. During the Islamic Revolution, common people took to the streets against the Shah monarchy. Will the Iranian people accept the Shah’s son again? An immediate cessation of hostilities and the establishment of a secular, democratic government in Iran could solve some of the problem. But how is that possible?
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