Rain Update: Monsoon has arrived in Kerala ahead of time and the progress has come to a standstill; Heavy rainfall deficit across the country

New Delhi : From last few days there is a drastic change in the atmosphere. In spite of its premature entry into Kerala, the Southwest MonsoonThe movement across the country has almost come to a standstill. As a result, many parts of the country have experienced severe rainfall deficits, raising concerns about agriculture, reservoirs and drinking water.

According to the latest data of India Meteorological Department, Central India has recorded the highest rainfall deficit of 65 percent during the period from June 4 to June 16, 2026. While the average rainfall of 55.2 mm was expected in this area, only 19.2 mm of rainfall was actually recorded. Central India includes Madhya Pradesh, Chhattisgarh and some parts of Maharashtra state. As kharif sowing in these states is largely dependent on monsoon, this deficit in rainfall is considered alarming.

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Even in East and North East India the situation is not very satisfactory. The region received only 77.5 mm of rainfall against the average of 125.8 mm, recording a deficit of about 38 per cent. As many areas that usually receive abundant rainfall at the beginning of the season have seen a long dry spell this year, the problem of moisture required for crop growth has arisen.

At the national level, the deficit is 36 percent

At the national level, India has received only 38.1 mm rainfall during this period as against the average of 59.7 mm. Therefore, the total rainfall deficit in the country has reached 36 percent. On the contrary, the condition is relatively satisfactory in North West India and South Peninsular region. Northwest India received 24.6 mm of rainfall against the average of 24.4 mm and rainfall remained near normal. South India also received 59.4 mm of rainfall against the average of 69.1 mm, showing that the situation is under control.

The effect of El Nino will be stronger

Due to absence of effective low pressure system or other weather system active in both the Bay of Bengal and Arabian Sea, the progress of Monsoon is slow. Satellite images also show a significant reduction in organized cloud bands associated with the monsoon. Meanwhile, the impact of El Niño in the Pacific Ocean is likely to strengthen, and El Niño has historically been associated with a weak monsoon in India.