Share Market Outlook: Bumper rise or fall, how will the market be on Monday? These factors will decide the move

Share Market Outlook: After the sharp fall in the stock market last week, now investors will keep an eye on the domestic and global signals coming next week, which include the minutes of the US Federal Reserve meeting, signals from the Reserve Bank of India, the status of the IT sector, gold and silver prices and the activities of foreign investors, which can play an important role in deciding the direction of the Indian stock market.

On Friday (February 13), the last trading day of last week, the Indian stock markets closed with a huge fall. The market remained under pressure due to weak global cues and concerns about the possible impact of AI on the economy. During this period, the 30-share BSE Sensex fell by 1,048 points or 1.25 percent and closed at 82,626.76. Whereas NSE Nifty fell by 336 points or 1.30 percent and closed at 25,471.10.

What is your advice for investors?

According to brokerage company Choice Broking, the level of 25,700 can act as resistance for Nifty, while the level of 25,300 is a strong support. If Nifty goes below 25,300 then the fall may increase, and if it goes above 25,700 then the market may return to bullishness. Experts said that considering the current situation, investors should maintain a trading strategy in a limited range with strict stop loss.

Next week on February 18, the minutes of the recent policy meeting of the US Federal Reserve will be released, on which the market will keep a special eye. Apart from this, America’s GDP figures are also coming. Minutes of the monetary policy meeting of the Reserve Bank of India will be released in India on February 20.

Investors keep an eye on IT sector

After heavy selling pressure this week, investors will keep a special eye on the IT sector. The Nifty IT index fell nearly 8 per cent during the week, making it the worst performing sector. There was a lot of pressure on the shares of big companies like Tata Consultancy Services, Infosys and Wipro.

Investors are concerned that generative and agentic artificial intelligence technologies could reduce demand for traditional outsourcing services, impacting the future earnings of IT companies. Meanwhile, the global commodity market will also remain under watch. The prices of gold and silver had earlier fallen, after which they now seem to be stabilising.

Also read: IT shares fall due to increasing impact of AI, Sensex-Nifty crash, investors lose Rs 7 lakh crore

Foreign investors are important for the market

foreign institutional investors (FII) activities will also play an important role. FIIs have been net buyers on most days so far in February. Investor confidence has improved somewhat after the India-US trade agreement.