Tesla China witnessed a sharp increase in new vehicle registrations during the second week of October 2024, with 8,500 new registrations recorded between October 7 and 13. This marked a staggering week-over-week increase of 372.22% compared to the 1,800 vehicles registered in the previous week, which ended on October 6.
Although Tesla does not publicly release its weekly sales figures, industry analysts rely on new vehicle insurance registration data to gauge the company’s performance in China’s highly competitive auto market. These figures are closely monitored by industry players, including companies like Li Auto, which recently reported Tesla’s latest registration numbers.
Registrations Up Year-to-Date
The surge in new vehicle registrations in early October boosted Tesla China’s year-to-date performance by 5.7%, suggesting continued growth in the country despite fluctuations in weekly figures. However, the latest registration numbers for Q4 pale in comparison to Q3 2024, when Tesla China registered 11,400 vehicles during the second week of July.
China remains one of Tesla’s most vital markets, and the company’s vehicle sales in the country have demonstrated consistent strength. According to data from the China Passenger Car Association (CPCA), Tesla sold a total of 72,200 vehicles in China in September 2024, the highest monthly figure so far this year. The Model Y crossover performed exceptionally well, selling 48,202 units in September—a record for the year. Additionally, the Model 3 sedan saw its strongest month since September 2022, with 23,998 units sold.
Aiming to Beat 2023’s Global Sales Record
Tesla CEO Elon Musk has expressed confidence in the company’s ability to surpass its 2023 global sales total. In 2023, Tesla sold 1,808,581 vehicles worldwide. Through the first three quarters of 2024, Tesla has already delivered 1,293,656 vehicles globally. To meet or exceed last year’s total, the company will need to deliver approximately 515,000 vehicles in Q4 2024.
Despite the challenges of increasing competition and fluctuating sales figures, Tesla’s performance in China is a promising indicator of the company’s continued success in the electric vehicle (EV) market. The strong sales of the Model Y and Model 3 suggest that Tesla’s appeal in China remains robust, positioning the company well as it heads into the final quarter of the year.
Tesla’s Outlook for Q4 and Beyond
While Tesla’s Q4 2024 targets are ambitious, the significant week-over-week rise in vehicle registrations in China hints at a potentially strong quarter. However, competition in the Chinese EV market remains intense, with local brands like BYD and Li Auto gaining ground. Tesla will need to maintain its momentum to capture more market share and continue its growth trajectory.
With new registrations trending upwards and record-breaking sales in September, Tesla China is well-positioned to contribute significantly to the company’s global sales goal for 2024. As Tesla continues to invest in expanding its manufacturing capabilities and vehicle offerings, its performance in China will be critical to achieving its overall objectives for the year.
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