Trump leads the race; Democrats on the backfoot- The Week

As early results pour in, Republican candidate Donald Trump has a clear lead nationally but the focus has shifted to key battleground states where it is a close call. A tight race is underway, especially in Pennsylvania, Michigan and Wisconsin, while Trump has won the swing state of North Carolina and is very likely to win Georgia. He also has narrow leads in most battleground states.

Trump has won 227 Electoral College votes to Harris’ 165 as of 10 am IST. A candidate needs a total of at least 270 votes in the state-by-state Electoral College to claim the presidency.

The race has thrown no big surprises till now with Trump winning all red states, including North Dakota, Wyoming and South Dakota, Arkansas, Missouri, Tennesse, South Carolina, West Virginia, Indiana, Alabama, Louisiana and Oklahoma. The former president is leading in the race, earning more support than his 2020 campaign, especially from black and Latino male voters.

As for Democrats, Vermont, Maine, Rhode Island, New Hampshire, New York, Delaware and Maryland would go blue.

Battleground states

It is almost clear that the key battleground states will decide the winner though the contests are too early to call. Donald Trump has win North Carolina, projected major networks, thereby securing the state’s 16 electoral votes. Georgia which too has 16 votes. Harris is hoping for the “blue wall” states of Pennsylvania, Michigan and Wisconsin. Her campaign expects tens of thousands of absentee ballots to be counted in Philadelphia County will fall in their favour, but has zero hopes for Georgia.

Trump betters 2020 margin

Donald Trump has improved on his 2020 margins but it is still a toss-up as the race is close in swing states.

In Pennsylvania, Gianni Hill, a data guru for the Philadelphia Democratic Party, told Politico that it is a mixed picture, as white working-class and middle-class areas are shifting more toward Trump compared to 2020.

He added that white progressive areas are shifting more toward Harris, and Black areas are staying roughly the same.

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