West Bengal Exit Poll: If the exit poll fails, whose government will be in Bengal? ‘Plan B’ of BJP and TMC ready for power!

• According to the matrix survey conducted for ABP, BJP is predicted to get 146 to 161 seats
• According to the PMARQ survey, the BJP is predicted to get 150 to 175 seats and the TMC 118 to 138 seats.
• Reputable pollsters like Axis My India did not publish Bengal statistics.

West Bengal Assembly Election 2026: The whole country is paying attention to the result of West Bengal Assembly Election 2026. As the results of West Bengal will be announced in next 48 hours, the people of West Bengal along with the political parties are eagerly waiting for the results. Almost all exit polls on the Bengal election results have predicted a close fight between the ruling Trinamool Congress and the main opposition BJP. Rather than indicating a clear victory for one party, the exit polls presented a picture of a very close and balanced contest.

Almost all major polls have predicted the fight to be so close. Although some polls have predicted a lead for the BJP, there are also indications that reaching the majority figure is difficult. On the other hand, even though TMC is getting closer to majority, there is uncertainty about getting a clear majority. Therefore, the possibility of a hung assembly cannot be ruled out.

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According to political experts, exit polls are often inaccurate. Therefore, actual results may vary greatly. A party is likely to win a clear majority with more seats than expected, while on the other hand, if both major parties fall short of a majority, the role of smaller parties and independent MLAs can be decisive.

What are all the exit polls saying?

According to most exit polls, the election battle in Bengal has become completely bipartisan this time. On one side is the ruling Trinamool Congress, while on the other is the opposition BJP, which has consistently tried to strengthen its hold in the state over the past few years.

According to a matrix survey conducted for ABP, the BJP is projected to win 146 to 161 seats in West Bengal, while the TMC is projected to win 125 to 140 seats. But if the BJP gets 146 seats, it will be deprived of a majority, which is likely to lead to a deadlock.

Similarly, according to the PMARK survey data, West Bengal is also predicted to be a tight contest. According to this survey BJP is predicted to get 150 to 175 seats and TMC 118 to 138 seats.

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Axis My India has not released exit polls

Interestingly, reputed pollsters like Axis My India are yet to release the statistics for Bengal at this time. This is because many voters refuse to provide information about their voting patterns. Meanwhile, in some polls like People’s Pulse, the numbers of the two parties were so close that it seemed possible for either party to win.

Given all these predictions, the possibility of a hung situation in Bengal has increased. According to most estimates, BJP is likely to get 140-160 seats and TMC 120-140 seats. This means that both parties are close to majority, but cannot go beyond it.

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What if there is a hung assembly?

If no party gets a majority, no party can cross the 148 seat mark, then the role of the Governor becomes crucial. Generally, the governor gives the largest party a chance to form the government.

If the BJP emerges as the largest party, but fails to secure a majority, it will need allies, which could limit its control of the government. For the TMC, this will be a test of opposition unity. If the Congress and the Left parties support it, they can come back to power despite being behind.

Overall, the Bengal election this time has become not just a win-lose game, but a game of intricate maths and political maneuvering, where the picture will not be fully clear until the final results are announced.