Who will gain and lose how much from UAE leaving OPEC? Know the condition of India-Pakistan

The recent decisions of the UAE have created a stir in the politics of the Gulf region and the global energy market. Its decision to separate from OPEC, the organization of oil producing countries, is being considered not only as an economic but also a strategic signal. This is being seen as challenging the influence of Saudi Arabia and expressing disagreement towards the Pakistan-Saudi alliance.

What do experts think?

This step can have a positive impact on countries like India. Experts believe that after UAE comes out of OPEC, it will be able to fully utilize its production capacity, which can increase the supply of crude oil in the international market. If this happens, oil prices may come down, which will provide relief to importing countries like India. This will not only reduce energy costs but can also help in controlling inflation.

This development may prove to be a matter of concern for Pakistan. UAE has already demanded premature return of the loan of $3.5 billion from Pakistan, which increased the pressure on its economic condition. Although Saudi Arabia later provided temporary relief to Pakistan by providing financial assistance, UAE’s displeasure was clearly visible.

According to reports, UAE faced the most retaliation after the attacks on Tehran by Israel and America. Its air defense system intercepted hundreds of missiles and thousands of drones. During this period, UAE did not get the expected support from other countries of the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC), which led to a change in its strategic thinking.

What does UAE believe?

UAE believes that Pakistan did not take a clear stand against Iran and tried to play the role of a mediator, which was not acceptable to Abu Dhabi. This is the reason why relations between the two countries became sour.

Meanwhile, new equations also seem to be emerging in the Gulf region. On one hand, UAE is strengthening its economic and strategic relations with India. There is talk of growing closer between Saudi Arabia, Pakistan and Türkiye. Differences between UAE and Saudi Arabia have also emerged in areas like Yemen and Sudan.

The UAE’s decision to withdraw from OPEC after nearly six decades indicates that it now wants to adopt an independent energy policy and is trying to get out of the shadow of Saudi leadership. In the times to come, this step may redefine Gulf politics and global energy balance.