WPL 2026 Playoffs Scenarios: After RCB, which two teams can make it to the playoffs? Understand the whole equation

WPL 2026 Playoffs Scenarios : WPL 2026 is now moving towards its final stage and RCB has become the first team to reach the playoffs this season. Now only two more places are vacant for the playoffs. For which there is competition between four teams. But, interestingly, the remaining four teams are also in the contest with six games left. Let us understand from the existing equation how all four teams can reach the playoffs-

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1- Royal Challengers Bangalore

RCB, currently on top of the points table, have secured a top-two finish with five consecutive wins at the start of their campaign, and are already one foot into the finals with 10 points. A win in the next match (or one of the three) will take them to the finals, but even if they lose all three matches, only the winner of Match 17 (DC-W vs GG-W) will be able to match them on 10 points. Furthermore, their net run-rate of +1.882 is much better than all the other teams, which puts them in a very good position.

Remaining matches-

RCB vs Delhi Capitals, 24 January 2026

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RCB vs Mumbai Indians, 26 January 2026

RCB vs UP Warriors, 29 January 2026

2- Gujarat Giants

Gujarat Giants, who are second in the points table, improved their net run-rate with a 45-run win over UP Warriors on Thursday. If they win both their remaining matches, they will get a place in the eliminator on February 3, and in this case, they will also have a chance to stay on top, if RCB does not win any match from here and the victory margin is quite high in both the cases. If they beat Delhi Capitals and lose to Mumbai Indians, there could be a tie among the three teams on eight points. If Mumbai beats RCB and Delhi wins both their remaining matches, it will come down to NRR.

If they lose to Delhi but beat Mumbai, they have an even better chance, as that would put them ahead of the latter team, and a defeat in any one of the remaining matches for UP Warriors would make matters worse. Even if they don’t win any matches from here, Gujarat Giants will still have a chance, provided several other results go in their favour. There could be a scenario in which all the teams except RCB are tied on six points each: Gujarat loses both the matches, RCB wins all the matches and UP beats Delhi, making NRR the deciding factor.

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Remaining matches-

Gujarat Giants vs Delhi Capitals, 27 January 2026

Gujarat Giants vs Mumbai Indians, 30 January 2026

3- Mumbai Indians

Injury troubles and a struggle at the top have put two-time champions Mumbai Indians in an awkward position, but they still have a good chance. The most straightforward path for Mumbai is to win both their remaining matches and hope that two of the remaining three contenders finish on six points – in this case the Gujarat Giants vs Delhi Capitals match will be closely watched as one team leads on points while the other has one match more.

If Mumbai Indians beats RCB but loses to Gujarat, they would want both Delhi and UP to be on four points before these two teams face each other in the last league match on February 1, with the winner of that match finishing behind them in net run-rate. If they lose to RCB but beat Gujarat, there could still be a tie between the four teams on six points.

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Remaining matches-

Mumbai Indians vs RCB, 26 January 2026

Mumbai Indians vs Gujarat Giants, 30 January 2026

4- Delhi Capitals

Three consecutive wins will ensure a place in the playoffs for Delhi Capitals, while two wins could also be the case. If RCB beats both Delhi and Mumbai in the next two matches and Delhi wins its remaining two matches, it will have eight points and Mumbai and UP will not be able to go beyond six, paving the way for the three-time finalists. If Delhi Capitals beats RCB and UP, but loses to Gujarat, and Mumbai wins both their remaining matches, then the matter will be stuck on them and the next two teams, who will have eight points each.

Remaining matches-

Delhi Capitals vs RCB, 24 January 2026

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Delhi Capitals vs Gujarat Giants, 27 January 2026

Delhi Capitals vs UP Warriors, 1 February 2026

5- UP Warriors

UP Warriors are at the bottom with just four points and have the lowest NRR (-0.769) among the five teams. The first way for UP to progress without net run rate is to win both the matches, and Gujarat to do the same and advance with 10 points. In this case, Mumbai and Delhi will not be able to go beyond six. The other way for them to get eight points, without relying on net run-rate, is for the Gujarat giants to lose both their matches and to beat at least one of RCB, Mumbai or Delhi. If in the above mentioned case both Mumbai and Delhi defeat RCB, then the first two teams and UP will be tied on eight points each. As mentioned in the Gujarat section, a tie between the four teams may not be of much help to UP, as their net run-rate is very poor.

Remaining matches-

UP Warriors vs RCB, 29 January 2026

UP Warriors vs Delhi Capitals, 1 February 2026