As the 2026 FIFA World Cup heats up, Group F has already delivered surprises. With the Netherlands set to face a confident Sweden side, a defeat could leave the Dutch in serious danger of finishing third — or even facing elimination.
Current Group F Standings After Matchday 1
- Sweden: 1 win, 5-1 vs Tunisia (+4 GD, 3 points) — Top of the group
- Japan: 1 draw, 2-2 vs Netherlands (0 GD, 1 point)
- Netherlands: 1 draw, 2-2 vs Japan (0 GD, 1 point)
- Tunisia: 1 loss, 1-5 vs Sweden (-4 GD, 0 points)
Sweden’s thumping victory, powered by strong performances in attack, has given them a commanding lead. The Netherlands, expected to be one of the group favorites, were held to a frustrating draw by a resilient Japan side.
What Happens If Netherlands Lose to Sweden?
A loss on June 20 would leave the Oranje with just 1 point from two matches. In a tight group:
- Sweden would likely be on 6 points and almost certainly through.
- Netherlands would then need a strong result against Tunisia in the final group game while hoping other results go their way.
- With only the top two guaranteed to advance automatically and the best third-placed teams progressing, a third-place finish with 4 points (or fewer) carries real risk of an early exit.
Football experts and Dutch media have already noted that the Oranje’s chances are “dwindling” after the Japan result, especially with Sweden now in pole position.
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