Nestle India shares rise after Nuvama Buy call

New Delhi: Shares of Nestle India rose more than 2% in early trade on Wednesday after brokerage firm Nuvama maintained its Buy rating on the FMCG major and retained a price target of ₹1,383. The brokerage cited expectations of strong sales growth, volume expansion, premiumisation and continued gains from e-commerce.

Nestle India shares climbed as much as 2.5% to ₹1,397 on the NSE, taking the stock above Nuvama’s target price. The shares later pared some gains and were trading around ₹1,389.40, up 2%, at 9:35 am, while the Nifty was up about 0.3% at the time.

Nuvama retains ₹1,383 price target

Nuvama has maintained its Buy recommendation on Nestle India and retained its price target at ₹1,383.

The brokerage’s latest assessment factors in expectations around second-quarter sales growth, volume growth, Nestle India’s relatively low exposure to cocoa, and further penetration opportunities in categories such as noodles.

The stock’s intraday high of ₹1,397 was around 1% above Nuvama’s stated target. However, a brokerage price target is an analyst estimate and does not guarantee future share-price performance.

Nestle India sales growth seen at 20%

Nuvama expects Nestle India’s sales growth in the second quarter of FY27 to reach 20% year-on-year, compared with a base growth of 10.6%.

According to the brokerage, the expected growth could be supported by higher volumes, premiumisation and increasing sales through e-commerce channels.

Volume growth is also expected to remain strong. Nuvama estimates around 20% year-on-year volume growth for Q1FY27, indicating continued demand momentum across the company’s portfolio.

The brokerage expects Nestle’s premium products and newer distribution channels to remain important contributors to growth as the company expands its reach among consumers.

E-commerce contribution crosses 13%

Another factor highlighted by Nuvama is Nestle India’s growing contribution from e-commerce.

The brokerage estimates that e-commerce accounts for more than 13% of the company’s business. It also noted that premium products contribute about twice as much through e-commerce compared with traditional channels.

The shift towards online grocery and quick-commerce platforms has created additional opportunities for FMCG companies to promote premium and higher-value products.

For Nestle India, the brokerage sees this channel as an important part of the company’s growth strategy alongside its established retail distribution network.

Noodles, coffee and chocolates offer growth opportunities

Nuvama also highlighted further penetration headroom in noodles, suggesting that Nestle India could expand consumption in the category.

Coffee and chocolates are other categories identified by the brokerage as potential long-term growth drivers. The brokerage also pointed to Nestle India’s relatively low dependence on cocoa as a factor that could support chocolate growth and potentially help the company gain market share.

This is relevant because cocoa costs have been an important consideration for chocolate manufacturers. Lower dependence on cocoa could provide Nestle India with some relative flexibility compared with businesses that have greater exposure to the commodity.

Premium portfolio gains share

Nestle India’s premium portfolio has also expanded in recent years.

According to Nuvama, premium products accounted for 14% of Nestle India’s portfolio in FY26, compared with 11% in 2021. The brokerage said this represents a 17% compound annual growth rate over the period.

The company has also increased its distribution reach. Nuvama said Nestle India’s distribution network expanded to 6.2 million outlets in June 2026, compared with 5.7 million outlets in 2023.

The wider distribution footprint gives the company access to more consumers and supports its strategy of increasing penetration across categories.

Nestle India shares in focus

The positive brokerage outlook comes after Nestle India’s strong recent operating performance. Other brokerages have also highlighted the company’s sales and volume growth, although their views on valuation and price targets have differed.

For example, earlier brokerage reports cited by NDTV Profit showed Jefferies maintaining a Hold rating while raising its target to ₹1,425, whereas other brokerages had different ratings and targets. This underlines that analyst views on Nestle India’s valuation are not uniform.

On Wednesday, however, Nuvama’s latest positive assessment helped put the stock in focus during early trading.

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