The model gives Vietnam a 31% probability of winning and puts the likelihood of more than 2.5 goals at nearly 49%. The specific 0-3 scoreline has an estimated probability of around 1.6%.
It does not disclose its mathematical formulas, the weighting of individual variables or the actual methodology behind its score predictions. Registered in Portugal, the site describes its forecasts simply as outcomes generated by an AI algorithm.
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Vietnam plays Thailand in the 2026 ASEAN Cup final in My Dinh Stadium, Hanoi, Aug. 26, 2026. Photo by Read/Ngoc Thanh |
During the 2026 ASEAN Cup, the site correctly predicted the score of Vietnam’s semifinal second leg against Malaysia, a 2-0 win. It had predicted a 4-0 Vietnam win over Indonesia, compared with the actual 3-0 result. For the semifinal first leg, it predicted a 4-0 victory, while Vietnam won 2-0. It also forecast a 3-0 win in the first leg of the final, which Vietnam won 2-0.
The latest forecast suggests the model sees a significant gap between Vietnam and Thailand.
British sports outlet Daily Sports also gives Vietnam the advantage based on recent head-to-head results and predicts a win for Coach Kim Sang-sik’s team, though it does not provide a specific scoreline.
Vietnam enters the match as the defending champion of the 2026 ASEAN Cup. The teams met in the final of that tournament, with Vietnam winning the away leg 2-0 and drawing 2-2 at My Dinh in the return leg to secure a 4-2 aggregate victory.
The result extended Vietnam’s unbeaten run against Thailand to four matches, with three wins and one draw.
Thailand, however, have a different squad from the one that lost to Vietnam in the ASEAN Cup final. Coach Anthony Hudson now has experienced players including Chanathip Songkrasin and Nicholas Mickelson, as well as forwards Supachai Chaided, Supachok Sarachat and Jude Soonsup-Bell.
Teerasak Poeiphimai scored twice in Thailand’s opening match of the 2026 FIFA ASEAN Cup, helping the team beat Pakistan 4-0.
Midfielder Chaiyaphon Otton said the current Thai squad are significantly different from the one that faced Vietnam in the final. The Port FC player said several key players have returned and that Thailand are capable of beating Vietnam.
“There is definitely a difference this time, as our squad wasn’t as complete when we faced them previously,” Chaiyaphon told Thairath. “This is our strongest lineup, so we will perform better than before.”
He also said he and his teammates are determined to win.
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Vietnam’s keeper Le Giang Patrik and striker Williams Minh Hoang after Vietnam beat Philippines 1-0 at the FIFA ASEAN Cup in Si Jalak Harupat Stadium, Bandung, Indonesia, Sept. 26, 2026. Photo by Read/Duc Dong |
Vietnam have retained the core of the squad that defended their regional title. Midfielder Nguyen Quang Hai is sidelined by injury, while striker Nguyen Xuan Son suffered a serious injury in the opening match and has withdrawn from the tournament. Midfielder Nguyen Hoang Duc’s availability remains uncertain.
Vietnam has also introduced new players, including Nguyen Adou Leygley Minh, Williams Minh Hoang and Ngo Dang Khoa, all of whom featured in the opening 1-0 victory over the Philippines.
According to Daily SportsKim’s previous experience against Thailand could be an advantage. In the two-legged ASEAN Cup final in August, Vietnam won the first leg 2-0 and drew the second 2-2. Their approach focused on controlling central areas and exploiting space behind Thailand’s defense after winning possession.
The match will be played at a neutral venue in Bandung rather than either team’s home ground, reducing the significance of home-field advantage compared with the ASEAN Cup final.
Indonesian outlet Tribunnews predicts a 2-1 Vietnam victory despite Thailand fielding their strongest squad.