Russia-Ukraine Conflict:The war between Russia and Ukraine has been going on for more than 4 years. Both the countries have suffered huge loss of life and property so far. Meanwhile, European intelligence chiefs have warned that Russia may soon test NATO. One officer even says that the attack could happen within a few months. This warning comes at a time when there is growing concern among EU leaders about the threat Russia poses to the continent.
Polish Prime Minister Donald Tusk recently said that intelligence information shows that Russia may attack NATO territory with drones or missiles in the coming months. By doing this it wants to show that 'Article 5' – the mutual defense rule of the alliance – is more theoretical than practical.
Expressed concern about hybrid attacks
At the same time, French President Emmanuel Macron on Friday (September 18, 2026) warned about the increasing threat from Moscow's covert operations across Europe. He said he has ordered steps to protect France's critical infrastructure from Russia's hybrid attacks. The development comes at a time when Russia's ruling United Party, which supports Vladimir Putin, is headed for a landslide victory in the country's first wartime parliamentary elections. These elections are widely considered to be sham. With Russia planning a full-scale attack on Ukraine in 2022, Kiev's European allies have raised concerns about hybrid attacks involving Russia. These attacks do not fall in the category of open war, but they include flying drones near sensitive places, violation of airspace and cyber attacks.
This month, Berlin blamed Moscow for an incident at Leipzig airport. The European Union said the incident had all the hallmarks of state-sponsored terrorism A rescue worker extinguishes a fire at the Intrade Trade Center following a Russian drone strike in Zaporizhia, Ukraine, on Monday.
Russia can infiltrate NATO
Michael Koudelka, head of the Czech Republic's BIS security service, while talking to 'The Guardian', said that it is possible for Russia to intrude into NATO territory. He said that with this, 'false-flag' provocations and influence campaigns could start in months, not years.
Meanwhile, Normunds Mezevits, director general of Latvia's state security service VDD, said that although there are clear signs that Moscow is increasing interference in Europe, the agency does not see any signs of an immediate attack. He further said that it is still an open question whether they have direct and concrete plans or whether this is just a part of their overall efforts to spread fear and uncertainty in Western society.
Normunds Mezevits said that ultimately it is a good thing that Western Europe has become aware of the threat posed by Russia. He said that before 2022, we continuously warned our Western European allies about the threat from Russia, but most of the time we were not listened to. The perspective of our allies changed in 2022. He said that the Baltic and Polish countries were right.
Attacks on several targets in Ukraine
Western officials argue that Moscow's targeting of European countries has increased in recent months as the front line of fighting in Ukraine has largely stabilized. At the same time, the Russian Defense Ministry said that its forces attacked several targets in Ukraine, including two cargo ships used by the army, a gas distribution station, the infrastructure of the Izmail port and the BDU logistics center in the Kiev region. Russia's neighbors like Poland, Lithuania and Romania have confirmed a number of violations, but the Kremlin's 'shadow war' has spread across the continent.
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