World Bank increases India's growth rate estimate, expects 7.1 percent growth in fiscal year 2027

New Delhi, October 6 (IANS). Expressing confidence in India's economic strength, the World Bank has increased the country's growth rate estimates for the financial year 2026-27. In its latest South Asia Economic Update report, the World Bank has increased India's GDP growth estimate from 6.6 percent to 7.1 percent.

According to the World Bank, India's economy is being supported by strong domestic demand, expansion in industrial activity and continued strength of the services sector. The report said that despite global uncertainties, India's growth momentum remains strong.

According to the report, India's long-term growth prospects have been strengthened by several important structural reforms implemented over the past years. These include integration of labor codes, Goods and Services Tax (GST) reforms, tariff rationalization, Insolvency and Bankruptcy Code (IBC) and large investments in physical and digital infrastructure.

The World Bank said that despite some challenges in the agricultural sector, the strength in the broader economy will help India maintain strong growth rates in the current financial year. According to the report, domestic demand remains the mainstay of economic activity and is the biggest strength of India's economy.

However, the World Bank has also pointed out some risks. The report said that higher energy prices and adverse weather effects related to El Nino could pose challenges to economic growth and inflation management in the coming months.

If we look at the scenario of South Asia, the World Bank has also increased the region's growth rate estimate for the year 2026 to 6.9 percent, which was earlier 6.3 percent. According to the report, the biggest reason for this improvement is India's better than expected economic performance.

Interestingly, except India, the growth rate estimate for other countries of South Asia has been reduced from 4.1 percent to 3.6 percent. The main reason for this is the big cut in the growth rate estimate of Bangladesh.

The report says that South Asia faces many challenges at the global level. The region is a major importer of crude oil, so higher energy prices have a direct impact on inflation and economic activity. Additionally, El Nino may increase pressure on the agriculture sector, which is a major source of livelihood for a large population of South Asia.

–IANS

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