World Population Crisis: Will the world’s population be halved by 2064? Scientists have counted 4 major threats to existence.
Is human civilization going to face the biggest crisis of its existence in the coming four decades? A new international research published recently has shaken the whole world. Researchers claim that if global crises like climate change, epidemics and war together take a serious form, then by the year 2064 the population on Earth may reduce to almost half. This study has been done jointly by scientists from Queen Mary University of London and University of Milan, which is being considered as a serious warning for the times to come. What are the 4 major threats that can bring ‘Population Collapse’? In this research, scientists have identified four major factors, which can prove fatal for the human population in the future: Climate change: It is not only creating extreme weather conditions, but is also affecting the global agricultural system and food production on a large scale. Pandemics: Global health emergencies, such as COVID-19, could have a profound impact on populations if they return in more deadly forms in the future. War and Nuclear Conflict: Major wars or nuclear conflicts will not only cause direct casualties but will also completely destroy infrastructure. Scarcity of resources: The rapidly decreasing availability of life-saving resources like water, food and energy is creating a major global crisis. Mathematical assessment of 12,000 years of data Scientists have used a special mathematical model called ‘Trachenko-Zakone’ to reach this conclusion. Interestingly, this model was originally created to understand the behavior of solids, which the researchers applied to human population data over the past 12,000 years. Scientists say that the pace of population growth has slowed down since the 1970s and the world is now moving towards stagnation or decline rather than a ‘population explosion’. What is the difference between the UN report and this research? United Nations (UN) estimates show that the world’s population may reach 9.7 billion by 2050 and 11 billion by the end of the century. However, this new research differs from the UN’s general assessment of circumstances. According to experts, while the UN makes estimates based on ‘normal development’, this research analyzes ‘worst-case scenarios’. This is simply an attempt to understand how devastating the impact would be if the Earth suddenly fell into a major environmental or social crisis. This is not the end, it is a warning. Scientists have clarified that halving of the population by 2064 is not a definite prediction, but a mathematical assessment. This research emphasizes that mankind still has time. If we do not address the climate crisis, resource management and global cooperation now, future challenges may be far more serious than any scientific model can predict. This study reminds us that our future depends not only on the pace of development, but on the preservation of our environment.
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