Tamil Nadu Exit Poll: Vijay’s party made a grand entry, but whose power is it? Shocking estimate of exit poll

By Samira Vishwas On Apr 30, 2026

Tamil Nadu Exit Poll Result: Matrix exit poll, predicting the results of Tamil Nadu Assembly elections 2026, has predicted a clear majority for the Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam (DMK) led alliance. According to exit polls, the ruling coalition is going to form the government comfortably.

118 seats are required for majority in the 234-member assembly of Tamil Nadu. According to the matrix, the DMK+ alliance is likely to get 122 to 132 seats, which is much above the majority.

performance of the main competitor

The AIADMK-led NDA alliance is expected to win between 87 to 100 seats. This alliance includes BJP, PMK, AMMK and many small parties. Although the NDA may perform better than the last election, it does not appear to be enough to regain power.

Actor Vijay’s party, leading the new party Tamilaga Vetri Kazhagam (TVK), can make a good start by winning 10 to 12 seats. Other small parties are expected to get 0 to 6 seats.

Estimate of vote share

According to exit polls the vote share may be as follows:

DMK+ alliance: 40.3%
AIADMK+ (NDA): 37.1%
TVK: 17.5%
Others: 5.1%

DMK alliance includes parties like Congress, VCK, CPI, CPM, IUML, MDMK and DMDK.

record breaking turnout

In this election, 85.10 percent voting was recorded in Tamil Nadu, which is the highest figure since independence. Voting was completed in one phase on 23 April. The voting percentage in Chennai district was 83.68. The highest turnout of 89.74 percent was recorded in Perambur Assembly constituency. Counting of votes will take place on May 4 and results will be declared on the same day.

Comparison with 2021 election

DMK alone won 133 seats in the 2021 elections. Congress had won 18 seats and VCK had won 4 seats. At that time AIADMK’s seats were reduced to 66. This time too the DMK alliance seems to be in a strong position. These exit poll estimates present a picture before the final results. The real decision will come out only after the counting of votes on May 4.